Bulbapedia Catch %

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lucaspontes

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The Patrat article says it has a 33,3% chance of capture when an ordinary Poké Ball is thrown at full health. Doing catch rate calculations with four shake checks, it shows that it has indeed a chance of 33,3%, but the catch rate article says in Gen V only three checks are made. So wouldn't the chance be about 43,9%?
 
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