Kthleen
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The AP said:Source
SEOUL, South Korea – North Korean leader Kim Jong Il has life-threatening pancreatic cancer, a news report said Monday, days after new images of him looking gaunt spurred speculation that his health might be worsening following a reported stroke last year.
The 67-year-old Kim was diagnosed with the cancer around the time he was felled by a stroke last summer, Seoul's YTN television reported, citing unidentified intelligence officials in South Korea and China.
The report cited the officials saying the disease is "threatening" Kim's life.
Pancreatic cancer is usually found in its final stage, and considering Kim's age, he is expected to live no more than five years, the report said.
South Korea's spy agency said it could not confirm the report. Unification Ministry spokesman Chun Hae-sung told reporters he knows of nothing of the report.
Kim's health is a focus of intense media speculation due to concerns about instability and a power struggle if he were to die without naming a successor. His third and youngest son, Kim Jong Un, has widely been reported as being groomed as heir, but the regime has made no announcement to the outside world.
The Chosun Ilbo said:Source
The CIA has told South Korean intelligence that the chances of ailing North Korean leader Kim Jong-il surviving another five years are one in three.
A South Korean government source on Friday said the CIA last month informed intelligence authorities here of a long-distance analysis of Kim's health that suggests there is a 71 percent probability of Kim, who has been battling complications from a stroke and diabetes, dying within the next five years.
The CIA speculation is apparently based on analysis of medical data including Kim's age, medical history, physical condition, and changes in his physical condition between the time of the stroke and more recently. It indexed Kim's physical condition based on various intelligence reports including brain scan pictures obtained by South Korean intelligence and testimonies of senior informants, in addition to information such as photos of Kim's on-the-spot guidance tours.
The Washington Times last Thursday gave Kim even less time. "New reports from U.S. and diplomatic sources say that the health of North Korean leader Kim Jong-il continues to decline and that he may have only one more year to live," the daily said.
South Korean intelligence services agree that Kim is not in a good health, but different agencies apparently have different views about how serious his condition is.
Times Online said:Source
North Korea’s supreme leader, Kim Jong Il, is suffering from life-threatening cancer of the pancreas, South Korean television reported today. It is the latest indication of a leadership crisis in the isolated and nuclear armed dictatorship.
The report, attributed to unidentified Chinese and South Korean intelligence sources, comes the week after Mr Kim appeared at an auditorium in Pyongyang looking haggard, emaciated and slow on his feet. According to Yonhap Television News, the cancer was diagnosed last summer, around the same time as he disappeared from public view for three months.
A Japanese television station ran a vaguely sourced report over the weekend that also said that Mr Kim was suffering a “serious pancreatic disorder”. But such is the totalitarian character of the North Korean dictatorship that it is very difficult to corroborate such stories, and to distinguish plausible rumour from fact.
South Korean government spokesmen denied any detailed knowledge of the state of Mr Kim’s pancreas today. However, other evidence does suggest that, 15 years after he succeeded his father, North Korea is contemplating a future without the man officially called the "Dear Leader".
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