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To be fair, Pokemon Switch has possibly been in production since 2015, when Nintendo distributed Switch dev kits. Of course, that would've only been conceptual/alpha stages and nothing significant would've started until 2016 -- but it's known that Gamefreak (Pokemon-wise) consistently has about 2 projects going simultaneously (there's plenty of sources for this, but one I remember that's more recent is a GameInformer interview where they got to tour GF's building and learned that they have two separate development areas which each focus on a different Pokemon game). XY was being developed alongside B2W2, ORAS was developed alongside XY's final year of development, SM was developed alongside ORAS, and Pokemon Switch is likely to have been in development alongside both SM and USUM over time. Even if Pokemon Switch releases in 2018, it was likely worked on for about 3 years - the same as XY and SM.
You are contradicting yourself slightly. You say XY was developed alongside BW2.... and later you say XY took 3 years to develop, while there was only a year and a half in between (They didn't need to develop BW2 fully, since they already had the Pokemon sprites. XY was produced alongside BW (Which makes it a three year gap). They started developing ORAS alongside XY from late 2011/early 2012... with SUMO being developed alongside ORAS when XY was released in 2013 and from the time of ORAS release 2014 (Maybe a year later, since its a third installment USUM was developed alongside SUMO, since they have the sprites for both games). So even if they have started in 2016 with the Switch game, that still means it comes out 3 years later, since its a new gen.